Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Spider-Man: Brand New Day is the most hotly anticipated theatrical release of 2026, opening July 31 as the culmination of a marketing campaign that broke trailer view records before a single review was published. Directed by Destin Daniel Cretton (Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings) from a screenplay by Chris McKenna and Erik Sommers, the film is the 38th entry in the Marvel Cinematic Universe and the fourth solo Spider-Man film starring Tom Holland. It is produced by Columbia Pictures, Marvel Studios, and Pascal Pictures, and distributed by Sony Pictures. The story picks up four years after the events of Spider-Man: No Way Home. Doctor Strange's spell has erased the world's memory of Peter Parker, leaving him to rebuild his life as an anonymous hero. Peter now lives in a small, rundown apartment in Queens, listens to a police scanner, and fights street-level crime without the resources of Stark Industries, the Avengers, or SHIELD. The film introduces Jon Bernthal's Frank Castle — the Punisher — as a morally complicated ally or antagonist depending on the mission, alongside Michael Mando as Mac Gargan / Scorpion and Tramell Tillman as a mysterious new villain, Bill Metzger. Mark Ruffalo returns as Bruce Banner / Hulk. Zendaya and Jacob Batalon also reprise their roles. Prediction market traders on Polymarket have assigned Brand New Day a 54.5 percent implied probability of finishing 2026 as the year's highest-grossing domestic film, with projections ranging as high as $2.54 billion worldwide. The film leads 2026 box office odds across virtually every tracking service that has published estimates. Sony and Disney are betting the theatrical summer on this one — and early indications suggest the bet is well placed.