Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Spider-Man: Brand New Day is the most hotly anticipated theatrical release of 2026, opening July 31, with an implied 54.5 percent probability on Polymarket of becoming the year's highest-grossing domestic film. Directed by Destin Daniel Cretton, the 38th MCU entry and Tom Holland's fourth solo outing follows Peter Parker rebuilding his life after Doctor Strange's spell erased his identity. Without Stark Industries or Avengers support, he now fights street-level crime in Queens, encountering Jon Bernthal's Punisher and Michael Mando's Scorpion. The film's marketing campaign shattered trailer view records, and projections range as high as $2.54 billion worldwide, outperforming #2 The Odyssey's $250 million budget by a factor of ten in predicted gross. The film leads box office odds across tracking services, suggesting Sony and Disney's bet is well placed.