美國實質國內生產總值 (Real GDP)

About US Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Published quarterly at 8:30 AM ET in Advance, Second, and Third estimates by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Real GDP is the definitive scorecard of total inflation-adjusted US economic output. In its October 29, 2026 Advance Estimate, Q3 2026 real GDP expanded at a brisk 3.4% annualized rate. US Real Gross Domestic Product claims #7 behind ISM Manufacturing PMI (#6) and ahead of the 10Y–2Y Treasury Spread (#8) because only the four quarterly Advance GDP mornings each year deliver genuine first-print market surprises, while monthly indicators drive price discovery during the other forty-eight weeks. Even with that quarterly cadence, BEA’s October 29, 2026 Q3 Advance estimate of +3.4% annualized real GDP growth directly corroborated the FOMC’s October assessment that US productivity and capital spending remained brisk enough to hold fed funds at 3.75%–4.00%. Because GDP reconciles consumer spending, AI data-center equipment investment, housing, inventories, and net trade inside one inflation-adjusted national ledger, it outranks continuous yield-curve spreads (#8) and weekly jobless claims (#9) as the definitive scoreboard of economic expansion.